ICYMI: CNN Reports on Bobby

On September 30, 2010, in General, by edwardpan

In case you missed it, the news story below about small business owners like Bobby Schilling running for Congress was published at www.CNNMoney.com. Bobby is quoted towards the bottom.

Small business for Congress!

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — A lot of people are mad as hell at Washington right now. The recession is officially over, but it doesn’t feel over.

That anger could bring a sea change to Washington in November, come midterm Congressional elections. A number of small business owners are running for office for the first time on the back of that anti-Washington sentiment: They want Uncle Sam to get out of the way.

“Small business people are frustrated. They don’t feel like Congress, specifically, and the government, generally, gets what they need, especially in a difficult economy,” said Jennifer Duffy, senior editor for The Cook Political Report, a non-partisan newsletter that analyzes elections.

Small business owners largely want less regulation and lower taxes, which they say can help them create jobs. And many voters like what small business owner candidates have to say. The message is really “resonating for the obvious reason that unemployment is high and people are feeling insecure,” said Duffy.

The National Federation of Independent Businesses, a small business advocacy organization, interviews new Congressional candidates to determine whether to endorse them as small business-friendly or not. Of the 200-plus candidates NFIB has interviewed this year, more than half have had small business experience.

Of course, being a friend of small business is popular right now and a lot of candidates this year are promoting themselves as small business people, even if they aren’t currently running a shop or have been working in politics for years. While it’s messy to try to tally the exact number, some candidates are attempting to make the jump straight from Main Street to Capitol Hill.

Small business = jobs: Small businesses are credited with creating two-thirds of all new jobs in this country in the last 15 years, according to government estimates. With the unemployment rate stuck near 10%, a recovery on Main Street is seen as a key component to any recovery in the job market. And small business politicians think that knowing how to generate jobs can give them an advantage with voters…

Push for smaller government: Republicans have been campaigning for smaller government as a reaction to the current administration’s policies, targeting such hot-button issues as health-care reform, financial regulation, and the possible expiration of the Bush-era tax cuts.

Small business owners often are seen as leaders in the fight against big government.

“When Democrats surge, there tend to be more women candidates, and when Republicans surge, there tend to be more small business owner candidates,” said David Wasserman, House Editor for The Cook Political Report, in an e-mail.

One is Bobby Schilling in Moline, Ill. With his wife, Christie, he has owned Saint Giuseppe’s Heavenly Pizza, a shop that employs 8 people, for almost 14 years. Schilling has never run for office before, but he is the Republican candidate for a House seat in Illinois.

One of Schilling’s goals is to make economic conditions more business-friendly. For example, he would like to lower the corporate tax rate to foster domestic business and attract foreign investors.

Schilling also is cautious about deficit spending. As a small business owner, “you understand Economics 101,” said Schilling. “When the business is out of money, you have to be very careful about how you spend.”

Schilling says politicians today aren’t doing what is good for the country, and feels a sense of urgency to run. “I have been forced to… set my small business aside” he said. “I can bring something to the table that is missing.”

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Politico Labels Hare a Liberal; MSNBC Reports Hare is Far-Left

A pattern seems to be developing with Phil Hare’s fading candidacy for re-election. Hare is moving further to the left of the Democratic Party and the president in an effort to shore up his base. Just yesterday the Politico reported on Phil Hare calling him the L-word because he is threatening to hold the tax-cuts for all Americans hostage unless the extreme left wing of the Democratic Party gets its way.

Then today MSNBC reported on Hare mentioning him as a “Progressive” among a small group of frustrated legislators that are to the left of even President Obama because a majority of the Democratic caucus and the president weren’t willing to push for an even more costly “public option” to the health care bill.

When the public is concerned about the economy, jobs, a massive federal debt, and out-of-control spending in Washington, it’s no wonder this race has gotten closer over the last several months. And now Hare has started digging for dirt and going on attack over the TV airwaves to compensate for his liberal voting record.

Things appear to have gotten so bad for Hare that the Washington Post just reported startling news that “The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has reserved time in the Davenport, Iowa, and the Champaign-Springfield-Decatur, Ill., media markets — likely both for Rep. Phil Hare (D-Ill.). Hare is perhaps the biggest surprise among members the DCCC has spent money on thus far, but recent GOP polling has shown him in the 30s.”

New Pew Poll on Independent Voters

On September 24, 2010, in Uncategorized, by edwardpan

Yesterday a new Pew poll testing independent voters was released that confirms a lot of what we are seeing in the race for the 17th congressional district. Analysis from Pew stated:

“The GOP’s advantage comes as a result of their 49% to 36% lead among independent and other non-partisan voters who are likely to vote in November… they are motivated by highly negative feelings about the government’s performance and harsh judgments about the political status quo. Just 35% express approval of their own congressional representative, and they are as likely as Republicans to say that their own incumbent does not deserve reelection.”

The poll shows that independents this year oppose the party in power, are unsatisfied with the current state of the economy, disapprove of the government takeover of health care, prefer smaller government, and overwhelmingly believe Republicans can better improve the job situation and reduce the budget deficit.

The last poll of the IL-17 race showed Bobby winning independent voters by a 2:1 ratio. Bobby is someone new with ideas at a time when the economy is facing double digit unemployment under Phil Hare’s watch. Bobby’s campaign has been focused on issues like how to get the economy working again with policies that will result in economic growth and better conditions for job creation, issues that will appeal to those independent voters who have been hit hard by the recession.

The two graphs below from the Pew poll show the change in preferences and opinions over the last four years.

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ICYMI: The Hill on Illinois-17 Race

On September 24, 2010, in General, by edwardpan

The Hill newspaper called IL-17 the “Race of the Day” and said that “if there’s one race that could tell the true size of the expected Republican wave this fall, it may very well be Rep. Phil Hare’s reelection bid in Illinois’ 17th Congressional District.” In other words, Phil Hare got caught off guard and didn’t see Bobby Schilling coming. The paper goes to say:

“To say that Democrats began the year not worrying about Hare’s reelection chances would be an understatement… But Republican Bobby Schilling is making a race of it in the 17th and the contest has quickly moved into tossup territory. Like most Republican challengers this cycle, Schilling has focused on Hare’s voting record, tying the incumbent to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and repeatedly hitting Hare’s support for cap-and-trade and the recently-enacted healthcare law… Republicans think the incumbent offered Schilling some ammunition this spring when he said after being challenged by a Tea Party backer at a town hall forum on the constitutionality of health care reform, ‘I don’t worry about the Constitution on this to be honest.’… There has only been one public poll in the race, an automated survey of registered voters from We Ask America, which gave Schilling a three-point edge over Hare. Last month, Republicans touted internal numbers that showed Schilling down just two points to the incumbent, leading GOP pollster Glen Bolger to label Hare ‘one of the most vulnerable incumbents in the country.’”

The ammunition the Hill cites goes way beyond just Hare’s comments on health care and the Constitution. Many people have come to the conclusion that Hare is a true believer in the idea of a bigger and more controlling government, a means to tax and spend more and more of our hard-earned money. Beyond the fact that Hare’s effectiveness in Congress pales in comparison to his colleagues around the country, and that he has never run in such a competitive political race before, his biggest problem is that he has tied himself so closely to the liberal Pelosi agenda that he has completely detached himself from the average American living outside of the Washington, DC beltway.

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Sam Schilling, 5-year old son of Bobby Schilling, has taken a vow to fight crime for the good of humanity. Watch out criminals of the 17th District!

Waves Work Themselves Down the Ballot

On September 23, 2010, in General, by edwardpan

It appears that Phil Hare might have more problems than just his 98.8% voting record with Nancy Pelosi and his party’s poor record on the economy and jobs. Hare also has to compete against forces he can’t control: the top of the ticket in Illinois where Republicans are winning handily.

Today in CQ-Politics Stu Rothenberg, a national political handicapper, said that “waves seem to work themselves down the ballot” and that means more good news for Bobby Schilling in IL-17. Rothenberg says:

“Voters in the state, certainly fatigued from the bizarre drama surrounding former Gov. Rod R. Blagojevich and angry about the economy, seem prepared to elect Republican Bill Brady over the sitting governor, Democrat Pat Quinn, who succeeded the discredited Blagojevich when he was impeached in 2009. Brady has been leading Quinn in polling since the February primary, and voters seem to have lost patience with the state’s Democrats. Reps. Bill Foster and Phil Hare find themselves barely hanging on as a result of the Republican Party’s strong Senate and gubernatorial candidates in the Land of Lincoln.”

The Politico also reported today that Democrats are fretting over their weak Midwest bids. They write:

“Democrats are increasingly concerned about the weakness of their statewide tickets across the heartland — and its potential effect on House candidates… One vulnerable Midwestern House Democrat, speaking on condition of anonymity, acknowledged that weak Democratic top-of-the-ticket performance could spell trouble for his own reelection bid. ‘I’d be lying if I [said I] wasn’t concerned about it,’ the Democrat said. ‘I am.’… For many House Democrats, the answer to the problem is in getting some separation from the rest of the ticket. Privately, Democratic strategists don’t expect many of the candidates in Ohio, Illinois or Iowa to campaign with their Senate or gubernatorial candidates now until Election Day.”

This race is getting even more interesting as Phil Hare has been forced to run a more negative campaign. Voters want to see results and Hare doesn’t have any new ideas or favorable accomplishments to highlight. That’s why Bobby Schilling is gaining momentum — he is an outsider whose campaign is based on issues like lessening the tax burden on middle class families with JFK and Reagan style tax-cuts, cutting out-of-control spending, promoting market-based solutions to health care, and getting our economy back on track to encourage job creation.

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NRA Supports Schilling

On September 23, 2010, in General, by edwardpan

Here’s another great endorsement for Bobby that was released this week.

The National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) has endorsed and is supporting Bobby Schilling over Phil Hare. Chris W. Cox, chairman of NRA-PVF said:

“The NRA-PVF is supporting Bobby Schilling because we know he will be a staunch defender of the Second Amendment freedoms of law-abiding gun owners, hunters and sportsmen in Illinois and across America… On November 2nd, I urge all Illinois NRA Members and gun owners in the 17th District to vote Bobby Schilling for Congress.”

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Mourning in America

On September 21, 2010, in General, by edwardpan

There’s mourning in America. Today, 15 million men and women won’t have the opportunity to go to work. Businesses shuttered.

29 hundred families will have their homes foreclosed by nightfall. This afternoon, 6 thousand men and women will be married, each of their children to be born with a 30 thousand dollar share of the run-away national debt.

Our government is now taking over the choices we once made in life. There’s mourning in America.

Under the leadership of President Obama, our country is fading, and weaker, and worse off. His policies were a grand experiment, policies that failed.

This November lets choose a smaller, more caring government, one that remembers us.


Rep. Phil Hare continues to duck the issues and refuses to participate in a real debate with Bobby Schilling in a public, fair, unscripted setting. Apparently, it’s never too early for Hare to panic. However, the quote of the night (that raised eyebrows) goes to the Green Party candidate who said of Hare’s reluctance to participate that:

“I’d like to get people out there so they understand where I am coming from, where Mr. Schilling is coming from and let the people decide in November… I’d like for Mr. Hare to be there, but if he is afraid to tell people where he stands, let him keep hiding.”

Is Hare afraid to tell the voters that he voted for the failed stimulus, the government health care take-over, and the job-killing National Energy Tax? Is Hare unable to defend the liberal Pelosi agenda which he so proudly voted for 98.8% of the time? It was reported that an empty podium will remain at each of the three debate sites in the event that Hare decides to physically show his face to the voters to discuss the issues that matter to them.

Please tell Phil Hare he doesn’t own the 17th district congressional seat. Debates are like job interviews — you can’t simply skip the interview with the employer (the voters) and expect to get the job just because you happen to be a Washington insider who took over $600,000 in special interest contributions.

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“Everyday that I am here is going to be spent on trying to debunk the myth that this country’s in debt and that we just can’t spend. Well you can spend.”

– Rep. Phil Hare, Congressional News Conference, July 27, 2010

Our nation’s deficit is unsustainable. The deficit in the past two years alone totals nearly $3 trillion, or over one out of every ten dollars earned in this country. We are on pace to run another trillion dollar deficit next year as well, and possibly the year after that.  The Congressional Budget office estimates that we will add over $7 trillion to our debt in the next decade, which would push the total debt to over 100% of GDP.

Reaching such a sum would be nothing short of disastrous for our economy.  One easily predictable outcome of such a situation would be that our government debt would become less desirable across the world; indeed, the bond rating agencies have already announced that should our debt exceed 95% of our GDP they would downgrade the status of our bonds.  In such an event we would have to pay significantly more to borrow money—both the government and anyone else in this country. Once that occurs the hopes of getting our house in fiscal order become smaller and smaller, and an extended period of economic stagnation would be the likely consequence.

How did we reach such a point? It’s simple: spending has gone through the roof. On average, tax revenue has been roughly 18% of GDP and spending about 19.5% over the past thirty years resulting in an average deficit of about 1.5%. In the last two years tax revenues have fallen some, as incomes fall and people lose their jobs, but spending has skyrocketed to nearly 25% of GDP.

With the massive new commitments of government spending by the President and Congress, CBO forecasts that spending will remain near 25% for the rest of the decade. While some may pretend that the health care bill will “pay for itself,” CBO projects that it will actually add over $300 billion per annum to the deficit by the end of the decade.

The apparent answer from the Democrats for bridging this gap is to increase tax rates. They’ve committed to increase the top rates on employees and small businesses while also increasing taxes on savings and investment as well as on large companies that do business abroad, such as John Deere and Caterpillar. 

I believe raising taxes at this juncture makes no sense. Economic history teaches us that the key to creating tax revenue is strong, sustained economic growth.  From 2004-2007 tax revenue increased nearly 50% without a single tax increase and a similar surge occurred in the late 1990s as well.  What was the catalyst? A strong and growing economy.  

But economic growth alone is not going to  get a balanced budget: spending must be reduced, and the place to begin is by  tackling the corrupt earmark system currently in place. Members of both parties have exploited this system, where bills never read by a single member contain hundreds of lines that direct money to the pet projects of various Congressmen or their cronies back home. We need a system of complete transparency to allow everyone to fully see what Congress is approving before they vote. A number of states have done just this, and our federal government should do the same.  

We also need to reform entitlement spending, which now comprises over half the Federal budget.  It is estimated that waste and fraud costs Medicare $70 billion a year, thanks to a laughably outdated fraud detection system. A recent proposal by Rep. Roskam to modernize it so that it functions like the Ficos system that protects our credit cards could eliminate as much as 90% of that, according to some Medicare economists. Rep. Hare voted for a half trillion dollars in Medicare cuts to occur after 2015: I would rather tackle fraud and risk angering a few Medicare vendors before voting for a massive cut in benefits.

Trillion dollar deficits cannot continue without putting our economic well-being at risk. Plugging the gap with massive tax increases is an option that cures the disease while killing the patient. It is time Congress faced up to its responsibility and took a few difficult votes to get our fiscal house in order.

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